• Black Swan
• The Social Network
• Winter's Bone
Overlap with Oscar nominees: Black Swan, The Social Network and Winter's Bone. All of the English-language films, in other words.
Just missed: Bluebeard (#21), Trash Humpers (#22), Hadewijch (#23), Greenberg (#24), Another Year (#25)
Not so much: 127 Hours (#30), The Fighter (#34), The Kids Are All Right (#38), Blue Valentine (#50), The King's Speech (#66).
• Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan
• Olivier Assayas, Carlos
• David Fincher, The Social Network
• Yorgos Lanthimos, Dogtooth
• Gaspar Noé, Enter the Void
Previous "nominations": Fincher now ties the Coens and Tarantino for the all-time record in this category, with four; he placed 3rd in both 1999 and 2007 for Fight Club and Zodiac, and was also one of the nominees for Se7en in 1995, the Skandies' inaugural Oscar-style year. Assayas scores his second in a row, having finished 5th last year for Summer Hours. And Noé previously placed 2nd for Irreversible.
Overlap with Oscar nominees: Aronofsky and Fincher.
Just missed: Catherine Breillat, Bluebeard (#21); Danny Boyle, 127 Hours (#22); Luca Guadagnino, I Am Love (#23); Pedro Costa, Ne change rien (#24); Mia Hansen-Løve, Father of My Children (#25).
Not so much: David O. Russell, The Fighter (#30); Tom Hooper, The King's Speech (no votes).
• Kim Hye-ja, Mother
• Jennifer Lawrence, Winter's Bone
• Giovanna Mezzogiorno, Vincere
• Natalie Portman, Black Swan
• Julie Sokolowski, Hadewijch
Previous "nominations": Only Portman, who finished 2nd in Supporting way back in 1996 for Beautiful Girls.
Overlap with Oscar nominees: Lawrence, Portman. Hey, it's the ones in English again.
Just missed: Chloë Grace Moretz, Let Me In (#21); Dakota Fanning, The Runaways (#22); Kristen Stewart, The Runaways (#23); Lola Créton, Bluebeard (#24); Noomi Rapace, The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo (#25).
Not so much: Nobody. All five Oscar nominees made our top 20, which almost never happens.
• Jeff Bridges, True Grit
• Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network
• James Franco, 127 Hours
• Tahar Rahim, A Prophet
• Édgar Ramírez, Carlos
Previous "nominations": Only Bridges, who won this category in 1998 for his previous collaboration with the Coens, The Big Lebowski. But Eisenberg was nearly a nominee once before, finishing 6th in Supporting for Roger Dodger (2002).
Overlap with Oscar nominees: Bridges, Eisenberg, Franco.
Just missed: Gianni di Gregorio, Mid-August Lunch (Pranzo di Ferragosto) (#21); Leonardo DiCaprio, Inception (#22); Ewan McGregor, The Ghost Writer (#23); Stephen Dorff, Somewhere (#24); Danny Trejo, Machete (#25).
Not so much: Javier Bardem, Biutiful (#67).
Best Supporting Actor
• Christian Bale, The Fighter
• Matt Damon, True Grit
• Andrew Garfield, The Social Network
• John Hawkes, Winter's Bone
• Filippo Timi, Vincere
Previous "nominations": Bale scores his third (the record, held by five actors, is four), having placed 3rd in 2000 for American Psycho (in the lead category) and 5th in 2005 for The New World (in Supporting). Damon makes it two in a row, as he finished 4th last year in the lead category for The Informant!. (We like him funny.)
Overlap with Oscar nominees: Bale, Hawkes.
Just missed: Pierce Brosnan, The Ghost Writer (#21); Michael Shannon, The Runaways (#22); Alexander Scheer, Carlos (#23); Andrew Garfield, Never Let Me Go (tie for #24); Birol Ünel, Soul Kitchen (tie for #24).
Not so much: Jeremy Renner, The Town (#38).
Best Supporting Actress
• Dale Dickey, Winter's Bone
• Mila Kunis, Black Swan
• Lesley Manville, Another Year
• Aggeliki Papoulia, Dogtooth
• Olivia Williams, The Ghost Writer
Previous "nominations": Nobody
Overlap with Oscar nominees: None! Though three of AMPAS' choices finished in our top ten.
Just missed: Ellen Wong, Scott Pilgrim vs. the World (#21); Mary Tsoni, Dogtooth (#22); Helena Bonham Carter, The King's Speech (#23); Marion Cotillard, Inception (tie for #24); Nora von Waldstätten, Carlos (tie for #24).
Not so much: Nobody.
• Jesse Armstrong and Sam Bain and Chris Morris, Four Lions
• Joel Coen & Ethan Coen, True Grit
• Debra Granik & Anne Rosellini, Winter's Bone
• Yorgos Lanthimos & Efthymis Filippou, Dogtooth
• Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network
Previous "nominations": The Coens get a record seventh nod, having previously placed 3rd for Fargo (1996, back when there were two categories), 4th for O Brother, Where Art Thou? (2000), 3rd for The Man Who Wasn't There (2001), 2nd for No Country for Old Men (2007), 1st for Burn After Reading (2008), and 4th last year for A Serious Man. Armstrong was also nominated just last year, as part of the team that wrote In the Loop.
Overlap with Oscar nominees: Coens, Granik & Rosellini, Sorkin.
Just missed: Todd Solondz, Life During Wartime (#21); Catherine Breillat, Bluebeard (#22); James L. Brooks, How Do You Know (#23); Laeta Kalogridis, Shutter Island (#24); Gianni di Gregorio, Mid-August Lunch (Pranzo di Ferragosto) (#25).
Not so much: David Seidler, The King's Speech (#35); Danny Boyle & Simon Beaufoy, 127 Hours (#41); Scott Silver and Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson, The Fighter (#65).
Nah, I gotta save something as a surprise.